لیدلوری د نظرخاوندانو د نظرونو بیان کوونکی دی او آماجنیوز په دې برخه کې (برابره پالیسي) پر مخ وړي او د ټولو لورو له لیدلوروي خپروي او هرکلی یې کړي.
د طالبانو حکومت یو کلن شو؛ خو تر اوسه يې نه ملي او نه هم نړيوال مشروعيت ترلاسه کړی، يوازې زموږ په هېواد کې بېوزلي، کمزوري او ګډوډي واکنه ده. له کوم امنیت چې طالبانو یې لافي وهلې برعکس، زموږ خلک نه فزیکي امنیت لري او نه ذهني امنیت، هېڅوک نه پوهیږي چې سبا ورځ به څه کیږي.
یو کال مخکې تر سقوط یوه اونۍ وړاندې په افغانستان کې وضعیت بد ښکارېده؛ خو هېڅوک نه پوهېدل چې تر ټولو بد وضعیت لا په لاره دی. ټولو امریکايي ځواکونو تازه هېواد پرېښی وو. لږ پاتې نړیوال ځواکونه هم په وتلو وو. طالبانو د افغانستان نیمایي ولایتونه پخپل کنټرول کې درلودل او لوی ښارونه یې ګواښل؛ خو لږو کسانو به اټکل کاوه چې د ۲۰۲۱ کال د سپټمبر په ۱۱مه به طالبان د ۲۰۰۱ کال د سپټمبر د ۱۱مې په پرتله پر افغانستان ډېر کنټرول ولري.
د طالبانو له واک ته ورسېد وروسته، افغانستان د کښته په لور روان شوی دی. ډېری افغانان له سخت بشري ناورین سره مخ دي. سره له دې چې طالبانو ژمنه کړې چې ځوانې نجونې کولی شي ښوونځيو ته ولاړې شي؛ خو دا کار تر اوسه نه دی شوی.
د طالبانو په مشرتابه کې دننه اختلافات او په هېواد کې ټولیز امنیتي وضعیت، بشري ناورین نور هم زیات کړی دی.
طالبان په لوړه کچه مات شوي دي. لږ تر لږه پنځه بیلابیلې ډلې شتون لري – د حقاني ډله، د برادر ډله، د یعقوب هوتکي ډله، د پاکستان آیاسآی د هبت الله اخندزاده په ملاتړ او غیر پښتون طالبان چې د افغانستان په شمال کې فعالیت کوي. ټول د نفوذ او واک لپاره یو له بل سره سیالي کوي. د طالبانو په منځ کې د دومره ډېرو اختلافاتو سره، له نورو غیر طالب ډلو سره د ټول شموله حکومت د جوړولو هیلې کمې رنگه شوې دي.
امنيتي وضعيت په سختۍ سره ښه دی. د طالبانو واکمني د دې لامل شوه چې د القاعدې او داعش په څېر د ترهګرې ډلې فعالیت پیل کړي. داعش په دې وتوانید چې د افغان حکومت له نسکوریدو وروسته د هیواد په ځینو برخو کې له رامنځته شوې ګډوډۍ ګټه پورته کړي. د ډلهییزې مرګ ژوبلې تروریستي بریدونه، چې اکثره یې شیعه هزاره لږکي په نښه کوي، په یوه ګډه ځانګړتیا سره په افغانستان کې پاتي دي.
القاعده هم په افغانستان کې د طالبانو له واکمنۍ څخه ګټه پورته کوي او د ملګرو ملتونو د یوه وروستي راپور له مخې داسې ښکاري چې د القاعدې غړي د افغانستان په سویل او ختیځ کې پاتې دي، چیرته چې دا ډله تاریخي شتون لري. القاعدې غوښتل چې د افغانستان په شمال کې ځانته ځای پیدا کړي، نوي جنګیالي راټول کړي او خپلې زیرمې زیاتې کړي. ویل شوي چې په دې وروستیو کې د القاعدې مشرتابه له طالبانو سره مشورتي رول لوبولو او دېې دوه ډلو یو بل ته نږدېوالی ښودلو تر څو چې ایمن الظواهري د کابل په زړه کې په یو ډیپلوماتیکه سیمه کې د بې پیلوټه الوتکې د برید موخه وګرځېد او ووژل شو.
له بلې خوا ښايي دغه ترور د امريکا او طالبانو پر اړيکو اغېز وکړي. په کابل کې د طالبانو حکومت په تیرو میاشتو کې له واشنګټن سره د دوستانه اړیکو د ساتلو هڅې کولې. له میاشتو راهیسې د امریکایانو په وړاندې د طالبانو له تورو کرښو او نښو کومه خبره نه وه؛ خو داسې برېښي چې پر افغانستان د امریکا د بې پیلوټه الوتکې له برید سره د دغو دوو لورو د شاتو میاشتې دوره د پای ته رسېدو په حال کې ده.
په هرصورت، موږ ټول پوهیږو چې د افغانستان وسلې د پاکستان مختلفو بازارونو حتی کشمیر ته رسېدلې دي او د منځنۍ اسیا له ټولو هیوادونو څخه ازبکستان د طالبانو سره تر ټولو زیاتې اړیکې درلودلي دي. په هرصورت، دا څرګنده نه ده چې تاشکند له دې تعامل څخه د پام وړ ګټې ترلاسه کړې وي. په حقیقت کې د افغانستان او ازبېکستان پولې ته څېرمه امنیتي وضعیت د خرابېدو په لور تللی. د روانې میاشتې په لومړیو کې له افغانستان څخه توغول شوي پنځه توغندي د ازبېکستان په ترمذ ښار کې ولګېدل.
په همدې حال کې ګاونډي هېواد تاجکستان د طالبانو پر وړاندې تر ټولو ډېرې نیوکې درلودې. داسې انګېرل کیږي چې طالبان د تاجېکستان افراطي ډلې انصارالله ته د تاجکستان حکومت د نسکورېدو اعلان شوي موخې سره اجازه ورکوي، د افغانستان او تاجېکستان په پوله کې ګزمې وکړي. په وروستیو میاشتو کې له افغانستان سره پر پوله د تاجېکستان د امنیتي ځواکونو شتون زیات شوی دی.
تاجېکستان په ضمني توګه د افغانستان د ملي مقاومت جبهې څخه ملاتړ کړی دی. د ملي مقاومت جبهه د طالبانو تر واکمنۍ وروسته د پنجشېر په دره کې رامنځ ته شوه. د ملي مقاومت جبهه د ملي اتل احمد شاه مسعود د زوی، احمد مسعود په مشرۍ د طالبانو پر وړاندې یوازینی رښتینی د مقاومت ځواک دی.
په تېر مني کې د طالبانو له لومړني برید څخه په خلاصېدو او بیا د ژمي په میاشتو کې د پنجشېر په څنډو او ژورو درو کې ژوندي پاتې کېدو سره د ملي مقاومت جبهې په بغلان او پنجشیر ولایتونو کې د طالبانو پر ګڼو پوستو په بریدونو کې له پسرلي او اوړي څخه ګټه پورته کړه.
په غچ اخیستو کې طالبانو څو اونۍ وړاندې د ملي مقاومت جبهې پر وړاندې خپل تر ټولو لوی برید پیل کړ. د دې عملیاتو مشري د افغانستان د دفاع وزیر او د طالبانو د بنسټګر ملا عمر زوی، ملا یعقوب پر غاړه درلوده. تر اوسه دغه پوځي برید ناکام شوی دی. د ملي مقاومت جبهې هیڅ مورچل نه دی نیول شوی. ویل کیږي چې د طالبانو مرګ ژوبله زیاته وه. حتی د طالبانو یوه چورلکه هم رانسکوره شوه.
که څه هم په افغانستان کې دننه د نړیوال ترورېزم سره د مبارزې یوازینی معتبر ځواک د ملي مقاومت جبهه ده؛ خو امریکا او ملګرو یې له دې سره د اړیکو جوړولو لپاره هېڅ نه دي کړي. په حقیقت کې، تیره اونۍ د بهرنیو چارو وزارت حتی تر دې وړاندې لاړ چې وویل: «موږ د طالبانو په وړاندې د منظم تاوتریخوالو نه ډک مخالفینو ملاتړ نه کوو، او موږ نور قدرتونه له دې کار څخه منع کوو.»
د شاتګ او افغان همکارانو د پرېښودو لپاره د امریکا د ولسمشر، جو بایډن پرېکړه د امریکا پر ملي غرور د شرم یو داغ و. د بهرنیو چارو وزارت دغه څرګندونې د هغو زړورو افغانانو پر مخ چې د طالبانو د وحشت په وړاندې مقاومت کوي یو بل شرموونکی ګوزار دی. په هر حال د ملي مقاومت جبهې ډېر غړي هماغه افغان جنګیالي دي چې امریکا له دوو لسیزو راهیسې روزلي او تر څنګ یې جنګېدلي دي.
طالبان د افغانستان د ادارې لپاره ډېر وېشلي او کمزوري دي. لکه څنګه چې د طالبانو وحشي توب دوام لري، ډېر افغانان به د مقاومت د جبهې په څیر د مقاومت ډلو ملاتړ وکړي. په هر حال کې، د القاعده او داعش په څېر ترهګرې ډلې به په ټولو ګډوډیو کې د ګوزار لپاره غوره وخت ته په تمه وي. افغانانو به لوږې ته دوام ورکوي او بشري حالت به نور هم خراب شي. او د نړیوالې ټولنې له خوا د څه کولو لپاره کوم پلان نشته.
که کوم څه بدلون ونکړي افغانستان به یو ځل بیا د تاوتریخوالي او کړاوونو بل نسل ته داخل شي.
پایله:
په کابل کې د ایمن الظواهري له وژل کېدو او د دغه نړیوال ترهګر څخه د ملاتړ لپاره د حقاني ډلې له رول وروسته، طالبان دوه لارې لري. یا به له کوم قید او شرطه پرته د دوحې په خبرو اترو کې ټولي ژمنې مني او یا به له سیاسي ډګره په زوره ووېستل شي.
444 تبصرې
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